Rudy, think with me..
You are 26 points behind, so one possibility would be: you win the event and Nolan gets eliminated in 2nd round with worst time.
Ok this is not very likely, so if you can grab the pole position, he can be eliminated in 2nd round with the best time and you still win. Grab the best lap too and we can have a tie if he's out on semifinals!
People getting knocked out earlier than they should happens all the time, and they've certainly happened to Nolan a few times already.
Not that I want either one to win, but it's a shame to lose a championship contender simply because he doesn't feel he can win. Your chances are much higher than those you claim to have, specially with the LX6, that you are very good with.
And I'm sure your team can handle themselves on the GTR side just fine.
Edit: Oh you deleted your post and now mine seems stupid. :|