What happens if Massa isn't fit, if BMW doesn't get a buyer, if Alonso isn't going to Ferrari, if Mercedes by a stake in Brawn, is Bruno Senna get's a drive.
You've just made up some nonsense that you haven't thought about, way before 'The Public' have enough information to make that sort of call. At the most it's a rough guess. But I think you will be wrong in quite a few cases.