bernie and max's idea today maybe stupid but a few years ago when the manufacturers were threatening a break away bernie pointed out that if F1 relied too much on manufacturers it would only take a change in emphasis in the car industry to see team numbers decimated and in the classical litteral sense we have ( 1 in 10 killed off for not performing adequately). as i said before other manufacturers are being squeezed and unless their F1 efforts have no net cost to them, they are bound to have to re evaluate the level of expenditure.
with the current climate, it's going to be harder to raise those sponsorship budgets which further adds to the preasure. when you look at how many F1 teams we've lost since the manufacturers became seriously involved ( for arguments sake say when renault took over benetton ) it's apparent that balancing the budgets is not going to be easy.
F1 has always had a reasonably high turnover of teams, the difference is that the manufacurers have raised the costs and standards so high that its very hard for a new team to start up, customer cars would have helped here but williams, despie being a customer team themselves when they started, oppose it as they feel that as a small constructor they would be penalised by 4 or more customer mclarens or ferraris. it's ironic that a team that are known for their love of racing have by blocking new entries possibly seriously damaged that racing.
the future? well renault have small costs and any political preasure to leave when they are laying off 5000 + workers has been reduced by alonso's late season results though if he leaves and the team fall to piquet levels of results, this may change. mclaren and ferrari are safe, both have healthy budgets with high media profiles, toyota seem to have a bullitproof relationship with panasonic and even if not toyota's size means that even with falling profits, the F1 team costs can be accomadated and of course there's the intrinsic value of surviving in F1 when a rival japanees company couldn't. BMW i assume will be ok as long as F1 revenue holds up but the parent company are suffering from a very heavy fall in profits ( if they put £ 40 mllion in the team it will equate to a tenth of profits ) and if the german Gp does go, it may feel that it's other racing efforts more accuratly reflect its possition and image.
williams, redbull and torro rosso are independants and as such will tailor their costs to their budget thoiugh the fact that berger has sold back his half of torro rosso may be some cause for concern as if bugets become squeazed, red bull may feel that merging the two teams would be prudent, and if others are struggling, then one well financed team may be able to achieve a serrious level of success. its the smallest team, force india, that may be in the best possition of the independants, they have a new technical partershp with mclaren and with their owner, they have the backing of a major industral organisation in an area of the world economy that is growing. also don't be surprised if a team involved with china happens, they've won the superleague, are developing in the space industry and as a country have a recent history of using support to promote their country's achievements and for a country that's run to comunist ideals, what would be better than winning in what to many is the ultimate capitalist sport.
in one way market forces may actually achieve what max has been trying to force on F1 if the recession contiues for any length of time, you may find that more outside suppliers become involved for assemblies such as gearboxes and possibly engines or that the existing teams are more keen to provide them to other teams, eventually we could even find ourselves ina similar situation to the '70s with ferrari and maybe 1 or 2 other teams using bespoke engines and gearboxes and the others all buying theirs either from the bespoke teams or even from an outside company or 2, renault and toyota for example may decide to leave as construcotrs and concentrate on being engine suppliers.